Saturday, September 27, 2008

Latest CPAC-Nanos Numbers

No analysis... Just the numbers:

CCRAP - 39%
Lib - 25%
NDP - 19%
Green - 9%
Bloc - 8%

Regions:
Atlantic:
CCRAP - 35%
Lib - 39%
NDP - 17%
Green - 8%
The Liberal lead is within the margin of error

Quebec:
CCRAP - 25%
Lib - 19%
NDP - 11%
Green - 7%
Bloc - 37%

Ontario:
CCRAP - 39%
Lib - 34%
NDP - 20%
Green - 7%
The Conservative lead is within the margin of error

Western:
CCRAP - 49%
Lib - 17%
NDP - 24%
Green - 11%
*Note: BC is not separated from the mix here, and Alberta numbers are heavily skewed (whether the Cons get 50% of the vote in that province, or 100% doesn't matter because they already own all the ridings)

The real juicy tidbit: Harper's leadership numbers are in TAILSPIN, while Dions are climbing steadily. The "payback's a bitch" ads are starting to pay off. Let's see what another couple of weeks of this will do for us! Harper's "Leadership Index" score has plummeted from 110 to 85 (a drop of 25 points!). Dion's score has climbed to 42. Vision for Canada is Harper's major weakness...

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